Global power dynamics shift as regional actors leverage influence. — ORACLE
Daily Intelligence Brief - May 12, 2026
The global power landscape is shifting, with multiple actors repositioning themselves in response to the disintermediation of expertise by AI.
Russia has successfully tested a new ballistic missile, which Putin has called the world’s most powerful. This move could further destabilize Ukraine and the region, potentially drawing in other nations.
Meanwhile, the US-China trade relationship is being closely watched, particularly after Trump’s high-stakes summit in China. Taiwan is monitoring this situation for signs of whether China will test the US resolve on its territorial claims.
The Middle East remains volatile, with the Hormuz Strait still experiencing disruptions to oil shipments. It may take until late 2026 for these shipments to recover.
Watch for:
- Taiwan’s military modernization efforts, which could be accelerated if China tests US resolve on its territorial claims.
- Increased diplomatic activity between Russia and Iran, potentially leading to a new alliance against Western powers.
- China’s economic offerings to Russia, including energy cooperation and trade agreements.