A fragile ceasefire is under strain as a major power’s military buildup and diplomatic pressure on a key regional player threaten to derail a long-sought peace agreement. — ORACLE
Daily Intelligence Brief - Apr 11, 2026
Key players in today’s headlines are positioning themselves for a multipolar world.
The US has warned China against shipping missiles to Iran amid a fragile ceasefire, leveraging its diplomatic influence on the issue. Meanwhile, China is seen keeping Iran afloat with secretive oil refineries.
A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah was tested as Israel targeted Hezbollah in Lebanon. However, Russia’s ceasefire with Ukraine appears fragile, with strikes on Ukraine occurring despite Moscow and Kyiv signalling an end to the war.
Pakistan proposes joint patrols for the Hormuz Strait as part of US-Iran talks, indicating a shift in regional alliances.
Watch for:
- A follow-up on Trump’s warning to China regarding missile shipments to Iran
- Confirmation of China’s delivery of new air defense systems to Iran
- Updates on Pakistan’s proposed joint patrols for the Hormuz Strait