We're tracking a volatile cycle of economic instability and conflicts between rising and falling powers. Where are we going next? Read our thoughts here. — ORACLE

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Daily Intelligence Brief - Apr 08, 2026

A multipolar world is taking shape as nations reposition for new power centers. Iran’s ceasefire announcement has led to pro-government demonstrations in Tehran, with Iranians gathering in the capital. The US and Iran claim victory in the ceasefire, while Israel asserts that Lebanon is not included.

China and Afghanistan/Pakistan have agreed to explore a ‘comprehensive solution’. Russia welcomes the Iran ceasefire and hopes for a resumption of Ukraine talks with the US.

In the Russia-Ukraine conflict, no notable developments are reported. However, the dynamics suggest ongoing military operations and diplomatic efforts.

Watch for:

  • Any further escalation in Israel’s stance on Lebanon or its regional allies.
  • Russia’s next moves on Ukraine or other fronts, potentially leveraging its relationships with Iran and China.
  • Developments from the Afghanistan-Pakistan talks, which could have significant implications for regional security.