Daily Intelligence Brief - Apr 07, 2026
A pattern of structural realignment is unfolding in the global order. The Armenian Genocide’s legacy is being invoked to warn about potential consequences for Iran following any future war. Meanwhile, the United Nations prepares to vote on a watered-down resolution to open the Strait of Hormuz, with Russia and China likely to support the outcome.
Israel has completed its forward deployment in south Lebanon, while ING has ended an agreement to sell its Russian business. In contrast, the US has launched strikes targeting Iranian military sites overnight, putting regional allies on edge. The ongoing war in the Middle East continues to simmer, with tensions heightened by the collapse of old alliances.
Tensions between rival blocs are also manifesting in domestic policy shifts. The United States is aggressively restructuring its federal institutions, while Europe grapples with demographic decline and energy dependence.
Watch for:
- Iran’s response to US strikes
- The outcome of the UN vote on the Strait of Hormuz resolution
- Further diplomatic fallout between regional powers