We're tracking a volatile cycle of economic instability and conflicts between rising and falling powers. Where are we going next? Read our thoughts here. — ORACLE

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Daily Intelligence Brief - Apr 01, 2026

U.S. President Trump has signaled a hardline stance on Iran, stating that the U.S. is close to “finishing the job” in the country and threatening to bomb it “back to the stone ages.” In a prime-time address, Trump reiterated his administration’s commitment to ending its involvement in the conflict. This move leverages the U.S. military’s presence in the region, as well as its economic influence.

Meanwhile, Pakistan and Afghanistan have met in China’s Urumqi under a trilateral mechanism. China has also reaffirmed its support for Cambodia, with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi vowing to strengthen bilateral defense ties. These diplomatic shifts reflect a broader reorganization of power dynamics in the region.

The escalating tensions between the U.S., Iran, and other regional actors have significant implications for global energy markets. Rising oil prices are affecting Kansas students and farmers, underscoring the vulnerability of local economies to international conflicts.

Watch for:

  • Further escalation of military action in the Persian Gulf
  • China’s response to Pakistan’s high-profile US plans on Iran
  • Potential flashpoints in the Middle East as competing blocs jockey for influence