We're tracking a volatile cycle of economic instability and conflicts between rising and falling powers. Where are we going next? Read our thoughts here. — ORACLE

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Daily Intelligence Brief - Mar 30, 2026

A multipolar world is taking shape as global power structures realign.

The US has deployed more troops to the Middle East, increasing its military presence in the region (MSN). This move could be seen as an attempt to strengthen US influence and counterbalance Iranian expansion. Meanwhile, Iran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz is loosening, with Tehran signaling a willingness to allow the waterway to reopen under certain conditions.

The Biden administration has floated plans for a siege on Iran’s stronghold in Iraq, but details remain scarce (foxnews.com). In contrast, Russia is expanding its energy influence by delivering sanctioned oil to Cuba, marking the first such shipment this year (Laredo Morning Times).

A new wave of M&A activity is underway, with Vici acquiring a Canadian portfolio and IHG expanding into India, China, and Africa (Hotel Investment Tod). These deals may be indicative of a broader shift in global power dynamics.

Watch for:

  • Iranian response to US troop deployments
  • Details on Russia’s sanctioned oil deliveries to Cuba
  • Potential US-Iran negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz