Daily Intelligence Brief - Mar 13, 2026
A new cycle of global realignment is unfolding. The US eased sanctions on Russian oil, boosting Moscow’s economy, while Iran continues to face pressure from its allies. The UK urges its allies to maintain pressure on Russia, while Ukraine and its allies fear easing Russian sanctions will prolong the conflict. Israel is seen as a potential beneficiary of the Iran war.
The US move on Russia appears to have been driven by pragmatic considerations, as Trump’s administration seeks to reduce tensions in the region. The easing of sanctions may provide a temporary boost to Russia’s economy, but its long-term implications are uncertain.
Watch for:
- A potential Iranian counter-movement, potentially involving other regional actors
- Increased diplomatic efforts from major powers to de-escalate the conflict in Ukraine
- Potential consequences for Israel’s military posture in the region, potentially driven by the Iran war.
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